Santiago Morning 1-2 Magallanes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-9.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santiago Morning EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Magallanes EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
0.79/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-43% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
157 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 171 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santiago Morning
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Magallanes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2025 Magallanes Magallanes 0-0 HT 0-0 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning ŞİLİK
15.09.2022 Magallanes Magallanes 1-1 HT 1-0 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning ŞİLİB
25.04.2022 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning 2-3 HT 0-3 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİLİB
27.08.2021 Magallanes Magallanes 0-1 HT 0-1 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning ŞİLİB
19.04.2021 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning 1-2 HT 0-1 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİLİB
07.01.2021 Magallanes Magallanes 1-0 HT 0-0 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santiago Morning
1-2
AWAY Magallanes
33% Ball Possession 67%
POST-MATCH Santiago Morning vs Magallanes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magallanes squeezed past Santiago Morning 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Magallanes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santiago Morning had 33% of the ball to Magallanes's 67%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magallanes led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santiago Morning and 1.17 for Magallanes.

What was the final score of Santiago Morning vs Magallanes?

Santiago Morning 1-2 Magallanes in the Chile - Cup on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santiago Morning vs Magallanes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Magallanes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santiago Morning 33%, draw 30%, Magallanes 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magallanes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Magallanes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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