Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 9 May 2025

Atletico Paranaense
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Chapecoense
📅09/05/2025 · 🕒03:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.6
Over
42%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.4
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
18%
4.54
6+
4%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Atletico Paranaense v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico Paranaense The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense The Market 18%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.18 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.63
0.81 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
Average Attack Strength Strong
Bad Defense Strength Strong
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3

Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.49
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
431 Passes 234
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.10.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
28.06.2021 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-2 HT 1-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
30.09.2019 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
05.05.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
14.09.2018 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
16.04.2018 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 5-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1

Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
1 - 1
AWAY Chapecoense
3.09 xG 0.55
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
427 Passes 168
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Paranaense and Chapecoense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atletico Paranaense at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (58%) came in, no to both teams scoring (58%) didn't.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 67% of the ball to Chapecoense's 33%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 3.09 to 0.55.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.33 for Chapecoense.

Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense Result & Final Score

Atletico Paranaense 1 - 1 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 62%, draw 24%, Chapecoense 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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