Northcote City 1-2 Bentleigh Greens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northcote City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bentleigh Greens EU Bookmakers 48%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
2.71/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.50
+45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
304 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northcote City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bentleigh Greens
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
27.06.2014 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 1-2 HT 0-1 Northcote City Northcote City AVNPL
30.03.2014 Northcote City Northcote City 2-3 HT 1-2 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
POST-MATCH Northcote City vs Bentleigh Greens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bentleigh Greens edged past Northcote City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Bentleigh Greens made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Northcote City and 2.00 for Bentleigh Greens.

What was the final score of Northcote City vs Bentleigh Greens?

Northcote City 1-2 Bentleigh Greens in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northcote City vs Bentleigh Greens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Northcote City 39%, draw 24%, Bentleigh Greens 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Northcote City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northcote City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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