Umea FC vs Gefle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umea FC v Gefle — Team-Based Signals
Umea FC vs Gefle Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Umea FC
İSÇ3
0-1
HT 0-1
Gefle
İSÇ3
2-1
HT 0-1
Gefle
İSÇ3
2-2
HT 1-0
Umea FC
İSÇ3
Umea FC 2-2 Gefle — Actual Match Statistics
Umea FC and Gefle couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Umea FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Umea FC had 42% of the ball to Gefle's 58%, shots finished 12-16.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gefle led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Umea FC and 1.25 for Gefle.
What was the final score of Umea FC vs Gefle?
Umea FC 2-2 Gefle in the Sweden - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Gefle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 44%, draw 25%, Gefle 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.