Xerez 1-1 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
0.96/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.17
-28% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
1-1
AWAY Conquense
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez and Conquense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Xerez had 62% of the ball to Conquense's 38%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Conquense?

Xerez 1-1 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Xerez 47%, draw 25%, Conquense 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Xerez), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xerez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
9 May 2026
19:00 CD Coria vs Deportiva Minera Analysis →
20:00 Reddis vs UD Ourense Analysis →
20:00 Tudelano vs Real Oviedo II Analysis →