Benevento 1-0 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
2.08/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.92
+44% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
1-0
AWAY Arezzo
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento nicked a narrow win over Arezzo 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Benevento had 58% of the ball to Arezzo's 42%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Arezzo?

Benevento 1-0 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Benevento 44%, draw 25%, Arezzo 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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