Köln (K) 2-1 Hamburger SV (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburger SV (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.87/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.24
-27% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
26.6 Crosses 15.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hamburger SV (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.91 xG 1.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
255 Passes 274
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
08.12.2025 Hamburger SV (K) Hamburger SV (K) 1-4 HT 0-2 Köln (K) Köln (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln (K)
2-1
AWAY Hamburger SV (K)
2.66 xG 0.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
192 Passes 156
64% Pass Accuracy 58%
34 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Köln (K) vs Hamburger SV (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln (K) nicked a narrow win over Hamburger SV (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Köln (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Köln (K) had 53% of the ball to Hamburger SV (K)'s 47%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.66 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Köln (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Köln (K) vs Hamburger SV (K)?

Köln (K) 2-1 Hamburger SV (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln (K) vs Hamburger SV (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Köln (K) 57%, draw 21%, Hamburger SV (K) 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Köln (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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