Fortuna Köln 2-1 Sportfreunde Siegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
59%
+3.8pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.4pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Siegen EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.86/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.98
-12% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +90%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
412 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sportfreunde Siegen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.11.2025 Sportfreunde Siegen Sportfreunde Siegen 2-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Siegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln squeezed past Sportfreunde Siegen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Köln as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Siegen?

Fortuna Köln 2-1 Sportfreunde Siegen in the Germany - Regional League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Siegen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 63%, draw 17%, Sportfreunde Siegen 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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