Adamstown Rosebuds 2-2 Belmont Swansea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.32
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
64%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
26%
-9.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.1pp
65%
Away Win
53%
+11.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.8pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Belmont Swansea EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.10/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.43
-17% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
352 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Belmont Swansea
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
27.07.2025 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-2 HT 0-0 Belmont Swansea AVNPL
13.02.2025 Belmont Swansea 5-2 HT 1-1 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adamstown Rosebuds and Belmont Swansea couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Belmont Swansea carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Belmont Swansea led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Adamstown Rosebuds and 3.50 for Belmont Swansea.

What was the final score of Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?

Adamstown Rosebuds 2-2 Belmont Swansea in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belmont Swansea win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Adamstown Rosebuds 17%, draw 19%, Belmont Swansea 65%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Belmont Swansea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belmont Swansea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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