Langwarrin 1-4 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
52%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
26%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.7pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.5pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Langwarrin EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 59%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.51/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.35
-5% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights ran out comfortable winners over Langwarrin 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne Knights as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?

Langwarrin 1-4 Melbourne Knights in the AVPL1 on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Langwarrin 28%, draw 19%, Melbourne Knights 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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