Hwaseong 1-1 Suwon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 9 May 2026

Hwaseong
1-1 HT 1-0
Suwon FC
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2026

Hwaseong vs Suwon FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.81
2-3 Goals
46%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hwaseong v Suwon FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon FC EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.78/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.18/1.00
-34% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
12.9 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Hwaseong 1-1 Suwon FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
1-1
AWAY Suwon FC
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
234 Passes 448
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Suwon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong and Suwon FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Hwaseong had 36% of the ball to Suwon FC's 64%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Suwon FC?

Hwaseong 1-1 Suwon FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Suwon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 28%, draw 27%, Suwon FC 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suwon FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
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