NKP Podhale 3-2 Chojniczanka Chojnice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NKP Podhale EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.33/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.29
-17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NKP Podhale
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
25.10.2025 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-0 HT 0-0 NKP Podhale NKP Podhale POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NKP Podhale
3-2
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NKP Podhale vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NKP Podhale squeezed past Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NKP Podhale as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, NKP Podhale had 45% of the ball to Chojniczanka Chojnice's 55%, shots finished 11-16.

What was the final score of NKP Podhale vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

NKP Podhale 3-2 Chojniczanka Chojnice in the Poland - 2nd Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NKP Podhale vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Before kick-off our model rated a NKP Podhale win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split NKP Podhale 44%, draw 25%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NKP Podhale), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NKP Podhale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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