Black Stars 4-0 Mtibwa Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.34
Draw
33%
4.49
Away
33%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
70%
-36.7pp
33%
Draw
19%
+14.3pp
33%
Away Win
11%
+22.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Black Stars EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Mtibwa Sugar EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.05/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.42
-16% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
POST-MATCH Black Stars vs Mtibwa Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Black Stars cruised past Mtibwa Sugar 4-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Black Stars made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Black Stars vs Mtibwa Sugar?

Black Stars 4-0 Mtibwa Sugar in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Black Stars vs Mtibwa Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Black Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Black Stars 33%, draw 33%, Mtibwa Sugar 33%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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