Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chattanooga Red Wolves v Sarasota Paradise — Team-Based Signals
Chattanooga Red Wolves 4-1 Sarasota Paradise — Actual Match Statistics
Chattanooga Red Wolves made light work of Sarasota Paradise 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chattanooga Red Wolves as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.82, about 55%.
Under the surface, Sarasota Paradise saw more of the ball, 67% to 33%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.70 to 0.74.
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Sarasota Paradise Result & Final Score
Chattanooga Red Wolves 4-1 Sarasota Paradise in the USA - USL League 1 on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 51%, draw 26%, Sarasota Paradise 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.