FK Karlskrona 3-1 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
68%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.4pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+13.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-13.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.37/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.34
-9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +61%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona beat Hogaborgs BK 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Karlskrona as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs Hogaborgs BK?

FK Karlskrona 3-1 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 62%, draw 22%, Hogaborgs BK 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Karlskrona), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
9 Jun 2024
14:00 Vastra Frolunda IF vs Jonsereds IF Analysis →
15:00 IFK Skövde vs IK Gauthiod Analysis →
15:00 Taftea vs Bodens BK Analysis →
15:00 Gottne vs Skelleftea Analysis →
15:00 Laholms FK vs Landvetter IS Analysis →
16:00 Falu BS vs Hudiksvalls FF Analysis →