Real Madrid (K) 1-0 A. Bilbao (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.33
Draw
33%
4.81
Away
33%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
70%
-37.0pp
33%
Draw
17%
+16.0pp
33%
Away Win
12%
+20.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
2.57/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/3.06
+14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.3
19.5 Crosses 7.8
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY A. Bilbao (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.78 xG 0.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
441 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 A. Bilbao (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
1-0
AWAY A. Bilbao (K)
1.13 xG 0.29
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
390 Passes 333
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) edged past A. Bilbao (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 53% of the ball to A. Bilbao (K)'s 47%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 1-0 A. Bilbao (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, A. Bilbao (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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