Criciuma 2-5 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 9 Jun 2024

Criciuma
2-5 HT 0-3
Cuiaba
📅09/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Criciuma vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.44
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.11
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
13%
16.35
X/1
13%
4.06
X/2
17%
6.47
X/X
8%
3.56
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
9%
5.88
2/X
7%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.71/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.00
-31% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +82%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
10.0 Crosses 22.2
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Criciuma vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Cuiaba
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.82 xG 0.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
254 Passes 290
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2019 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
27.04.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2

Criciuma 2-5 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
2-5
AWAY Cuiaba
1.78 xG 1.47
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 1
434 Passes 244
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 17
35 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba cruised past Criciuma 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cuiaba found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Criciuma had 62% of the ball to Cuiaba's 38%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 1.78 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cuiaba led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Criciuma and 0.50 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Cuiaba?

Criciuma 2-5 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 39%, draw 28%, Cuiaba 33%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Criciuma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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