Avai 0-0 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 9 Jun 2024

Avai
0-0 HT 0-0
Chapecoense
📅09/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Avai vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.9
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 39% vs market 34.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.9pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avai v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.08/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.63
-21% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
26.7 Crosses 13.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Avai vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chapecoense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.56 xG 1.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
294 Passes 306
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
13.05.2023 Avai Avai 1-4 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
14.01.2023 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BRCAT1
27.01.2022 Avai Avai 0-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BRCAT1
26.05.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BRCAT1
23.05.2021 Avai Avai 2-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BRCAT1

Avai 0-0 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
0-0
AWAY Chapecoense
0.34 xG 0.44
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 2
364 Passes 171
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Avai vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai and Chapecoense played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Avai at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Avai had 63% of the ball to Chapecoense's 37%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.34 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chapecoense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Avai and 1.50 for Chapecoense.

What was the final score of Avai vs Chapecoense?

Avai 0-0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Avai 47%, draw 30%, Chapecoense 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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