KuPS Ak. 1-1 JJK Jyvaskyla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.12 — our 26% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.6pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY JJK Jyvaskyla EU Bookmakers 48%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/1.35
+42% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Ak.
1-1
AWAY JJK Jyvaskyla
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs JJK Jyvaskyla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Ak. and JJK Jyvaskyla shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, KuPS Ak. had 45% of the ball to JJK Jyvaskyla's 55%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs JJK Jyvaskyla?

KuPS Ak. 1-1 JJK Jyvaskyla in the Finland - Ykkönen on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs JJK Jyvaskyla?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Ak. win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 38%, draw 25%, JJK Jyvaskyla 37%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Ak.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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