Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.14/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.77
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
14.05.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
02.10.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 4-0 HT 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
20.03.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-2 HT 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-1
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Giravanz Kitakyushu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 45% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 55%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.50 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 34%, draw 27%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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