Heartland 3-1 Doma United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 9 Jun 2024

Heartland
3-1 HT 1-0
Doma United
📅09/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Heartland vs Doma United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heartland v Doma United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heartland EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Doma United EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.15/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-10% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Heartland vs Doma United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heartland beat Doma United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Heartland as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Heartland vs Doma United?

Heartland 3-1 Doma United in the Nigeria NPFL on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heartland vs Doma United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heartland win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Heartland 43%, draw 29%, Doma United 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heartland) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heartland) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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