Hodd 2-1 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 9 Jun 2024

Hodd
2-1 HT 2-0
Arendal
📅09/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No
55%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
9%
7.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.96 — our 26% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.4pp
55%
BTTS No
38%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.48/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.34
-23% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hodd
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arendal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
26.10.2019 Hodd Hodd 0-3 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd nicked a narrow win over Arendal 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hodd as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Arendal?

Hodd 2-1 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hodd 48%, draw 26%, Arendal 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hodd) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hodd) ✗ BTTS No
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