Trygg/Lade 4-1 Rana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
52%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.96
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.4pp
31%
Under 2.5
30%
+1.2pp
69%
Over 2.5
70%
-1.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-1.8pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rana EU Bookmakers 56%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.45/1.96
-100% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trygg/Lade
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
31.07.2022 Rana Rana 2-0 HT 0-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
23.07.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 3-2 HT 2-1 Rana Rana NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trygg/Lade
4-1
AWAY Rana
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trygg/Lade vs Rana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trygg/Lade cruised past Rana 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rana at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Trygg/Lade had 41% of the ball to Rana's 59%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trygg/Lade and 2.00 for Rana.

What was the final score of Trygg/Lade vs Rana?

Trygg/Lade 4-1 Rana in the Norway - 3rd Division on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trygg/Lade vs Rana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rana win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Trygg/Lade 27%, draw 21%, Rana 52%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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