Sarpsborg 08 II 2-0 Stabaek II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 9 Jun 2025

📅09/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
14%
3.94
Away
51%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.35
No
47%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.3pp
15%
Draw
22%
-7.1pp
51%
Away Win
45%
+5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
70%
-17.4pp
47%
BTTS No
30%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek II EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.41/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.84
-28% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
2-0
AWAY Stabaek II
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs Stabaek II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II got the better of Stabaek II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stabaek II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 45% of the ball to Stabaek II's 55%, shots finished 20-10.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Stabaek II?

Sarpsborg 08 II 2-0 Stabaek II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Stabaek II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stabaek II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 35%, draw 15%, Stabaek II 51%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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