İzlanda (K) 1-6 İspanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 9 Jun 2026

📅09/06/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
12.23
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
75%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.0
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
7.16
2-3 Goals
38%
2.18
4-5 Goals
22%
2.3
6+ Goals
10%
4.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 7.16 — our 30% vs market 8.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
26%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
5%
+6.9pp
13%
Draw
10%
+2.9pp
75%
Away Win
85%
-9.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.0pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İzlanda (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.64/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.68
-100% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -31%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
168 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.4
11.0 Crosses 26.7
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İzlanda (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İspanya (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.53 xG 3.61
20% Ball Possession 80%
6 Total Shots 34
1 Shots on Target 14
0 Corners 16
106 Passes 628
61% Pass Accuracy 91%
11 Box Touches 75
5 Crosses 51
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.03.2026 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 İzlanda (K) İzlanda (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İzlanda (K)
1-6
AWAY İspanya (K)
0.43 xG 3.64
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
103 Passes 702
10 Box Touches 53
4 Crosses 30
POST-MATCH İzlanda (K) vs İspanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya (K) ran out comfortable winners over İzlanda (K) 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İspanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İzlanda (K) had 24% of the ball to İspanya (K)'s 76%, shots finished 5-25, expected goals 0.43 to 3.64.

What was the final score of İzlanda (K) vs İspanya (K)?

İzlanda (K) 1-6 İspanya (K) in the Women's World Cup on 09/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İzlanda (K) vs İspanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split İzlanda (K) 12%, draw 13%, İspanya (K) 75%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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