İspanya vs Fransa Prediction — Model Probabilities
İspanya v Fransa — Team-Based Signals
İspanya vs Fransa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
İspanya 2-1 Fransa — Actual Match Statistics
İspanya found just enough to beat Fransa 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 37% / 28% — and on the day İspanya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 58% to 42% in İspanya's favour, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.75 to 1.10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İspanya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for İspanya against 0.67 for Fransa.
İspanya vs Fransa Result & Final Score
İspanya 2 - 1 Fransa in the Euro on 09/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
İspanya vs Fransa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split İspanya 35%, draw 37%, Fransa 28%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.