Amazonas vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amazonas v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Amazonas 1-2 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova nicked a narrow win over Amazonas 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Vila Nova found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Amazonas had 60% of the ball to Vila Nova's 40%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 0.88 to 1.46.
What was the final score of Amazonas vs Vila Nova?
Amazonas 1-2 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 40%, draw 30%, Vila Nova 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.