Goias 1-1 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 9 Jul 2025

Goias
1-1 HT 0-1
Criciuma
📅09/07/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Goias vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.16
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Goias v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.40/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.13
+18% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.3 Crosses 15.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Goias vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Criciuma
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.55 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
294 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.03.2022 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BRK
02.11.2018 Criciuma Criciuma 2-2 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR2
14.07.2018 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 1-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
01.11.2017 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
15.07.2017 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
31.08.2016 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2

Goias 1-1 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
1-1
AWAY Criciuma
2.24 xG 0.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
194 Passes 199
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Goias vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias and Criciuma shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Goias at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Goias had 51% of the ball to Criciuma's 49%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.24 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Goias and 1.00 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Goias vs Criciuma?

Goias 1-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Goias 46%, draw 30%, Criciuma 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Goias), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Goias) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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