24 de Setiembre 4-0 1 de Marzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 9 Jul 2025

📅09/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.95
Over
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
50%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
24 de Setiembre win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 24 de Setiembre The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY 1 de Marzo The Market 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / -73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 24 de Setiembre
4-0
AWAY 1 de Marzo
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 24 de Setiembre vs 1 de Marzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

24 de Setiembre ran out comfortable winners over 1 de Marzo 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had 24 de Setiembre as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, 24 de Setiembre had 57% of the ball to 1 de Marzo's 43%, shots finished 25-13.

What was the final score of 24 de Setiembre vs 1 de Marzo?

24 de Setiembre 4-0 1 de Marzo in the Paraguay - Cup on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 24 de Setiembre vs 1 de Marzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a 24 de Setiembre win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split 24 de Setiembre 56%, draw 21%, 1 de Marzo 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (24 de Setiembre), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (24 de Setiembre) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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9 Jul 2025
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