AFC Ann Arbor 2-4 Union Macomb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 9 Jul 2025

📅09/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.6pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Ann Arbor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Macomb EU Bookmakers 18%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Ann Arbor
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Union Macomb
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
24.05.2025 Union Macomb 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Ann Arbor AFC Ann Arbor USL2
19.06.2024 Union Macomb 2-3 HT 0-1 AFC Ann Arbor AFC Ann Arbor USL2
POST-MATCH AFC Ann Arbor vs Union Macomb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Macomb saw off AFC Ann Arbor 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AFC Ann Arbor at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Ann Arbor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Ann Arbor and 1.50 for Union Macomb.

What was the final score of AFC Ann Arbor vs Union Macomb?

AFC Ann Arbor 2-4 Union Macomb in the USA - USL League 2 on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Ann Arbor vs Union Macomb?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Ann Arbor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split AFC Ann Arbor 60%, draw 21%, Union Macomb 19%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Ann Arbor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Ann Arbor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL2 More USA - USL League 2
9 Jul 2025
01:00 North Carolina II vs Charlotte Independence II Analysis →
02:00 Brevard Fire vs Nona Analysis →