Alashkert 1-1 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 9 Jul 2026

📅09/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alashkert EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alashkert
1-1
AWAY Yelimay Semey
17 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alashkert and Yelimay Semey couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alashkert at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 17-13.

What was the final score of Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey?

Alashkert 1-1 Yelimay Semey in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 09/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alashkert win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alashkert 46%, draw 30%, Yelimay Semey 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alashkert) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alashkert) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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