Fransa 2-0 Fas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 9 Jul 2026

Fransa
2-0 HT 0-0
Fas
📅09/07/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.88
No
41%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2.99
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.03
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
18%
3.98
X/2
6%
10.85
X/X
13%
5.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.8
2/2
12%
9.36
2/X
3%
17.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.8pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fas EU Bookmakers 20%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.89/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.36
+32% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +110%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
421 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
12.7 Crosses 14.5
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.10 xG 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
293 Passes 500
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2022 Fransa Fransa 2-0 HT 1-0 Fas Fas DK
16.11.2007 Fransa Fransa 2-2 HT 1-1 Fas Fas HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa
2-0
AWAY Fas
3.69 xG 0.14
22 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
432 Passes 452
29 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fransa vs Fas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa saw off Fas 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fransa as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 3.69 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fransa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fransa and 1.00 for Fas.

What was the final score of Fransa vs Fas?

Fransa 2-0 Fas in the World Cup on 09/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa vs Fas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fransa 56%, draw 22%, Fas 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fransa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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