Rennes 1-2 Caen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Jul 2026

Rennes
1-2 HT 1-0
Caen
📅09/07/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.38
Over
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.84
No
47%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Rennes The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Caen The Market 15%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.00 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.00
1.00 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.00
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
453 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Caen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 1.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
353 Passes 321
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2022 Caen Caen 1-2 HT 0-2 Rennes Rennes HAZ
10.03.2019 Rennes Rennes 3-1 HT 1-1 Caen Caen FR1
03.11.2018 Caen Caen 1-2 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
17.02.2018 Caen Caen 2-2 HT 1-2 Rennes Rennes FR1
30.09.2017 Rennes Rennes 0-1 HT 0-1 Caen Caen FR1
14.05.2017 Caen Caen 0-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
REVIEW Rennes vs Caen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Caen edged past Rennes 2-1 away from home. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

File this under upsets: a 68% lean on Rennes went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. Small consolation: at 1.32 (roughly 76%) the price was further off than we were. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rennes and 1.00 for Caen.

Rennes vs Caen Result & Final Score

Rennes 1-2 Caen in the Friendlies on 09/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rennes vs Caen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Rennes 68%, draw 19%, Caen 13%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rennes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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