New York Cosmos 1-0 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 9 Jul 2026

📅09/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.9pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Cosmos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 38%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.22/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.08
+68% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
6.5 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Cosmos
1-0
AWAY Naples
0.99 xG 1.27
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
229 Passes 412
18 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ New York Cosmos vs Naples
Match summary & frequently asked questions

New York Cosmos edged past Naples 1-0 in the USA - USL League 1 on 9 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.99 to 1.27.

What was the final score of New York Cosmos vs Naples?

New York Cosmos 1-0 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 09/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Cosmos vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split New York Cosmos 37%, draw 24%, Naples 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naples) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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