Queens Park 1-1 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
45%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 31% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.77
1/2
11%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
9%
5.43
X/2
15%
5.35
X/X
13%
4.57
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
20%
3.7
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
36%
+9.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.23/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.31
-3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Livingston
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
22.04.2017 Livingston Livingston 4-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
04.03.2017 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-1 Livingston Livingston İK1
24.12.2016 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
27.08.2016 Queens Park Queens Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İK1
24.07.2010 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-1 Livingston Livingston İKCK
27.03.2010 Queens Park Queens Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İK2
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park and Livingston shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Livingston at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queens Park and 1.33 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Livingston?

Queens Park 1-1 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 29%, draw 26%, Livingston 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Livingston), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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