Chesterfield vs Swindon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chesterfield v Swindon Town — Team-Based Signals
Chesterfield vs Swindon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield and Swindon Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Chesterfield at 57% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
By the numbers, possession split 64% to 36% in Chesterfield's favour, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.73 to 0.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Chesterfield against 1.50 for Swindon Town.
Chesterfield vs Swindon Town Result & Final Score
Chesterfield 1 - 1 Swindon Town in the England - 2nd Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chesterfield vs Swindon Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 57%, draw 23%, Swindon Town 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield), Over 2.5 went the other way.