Virtus Verona 2-2 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.59
Over
51%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.47
2-3
36%
1.78
4-5
26%
4.83
6+
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 32%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
2-2
AWAY Caldiero Terme
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona and Caldiero Terme shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Verona at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 46% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 54%, shots finished 14-16.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Caldiero Terme?

Virtus Verona 2-2 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 42%, draw 24%, Caldiero Terme 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Virtus Verona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Verona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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