Dynamo Dresden 4-2 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Aug 2024

Dynamo Dresden
4-2 HT 2-2
Energie Cottbus
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.45
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.73
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.45
X/1
14%
3.7
X/2
10%
13.9
X/X
11%
6.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
2/2
10%
10.55
2/X
8%
18.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
65%
-17.7pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.3pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dynamo Dresden v Energie Cottbus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
1.95/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.36
+5% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +32%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
35.0 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Energie Cottbus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
322 Passes 221
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
The Meetings
02.04.2016 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-2 HT 0-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
17.10.2015 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
13.12.2014 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
03.08.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-3 HT 0-3 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
04.04.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
27.10.2013 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2

Dynamo Dresden 4-2 Energie Cottbus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
4-2
AWAY Energie Cottbus
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden beat Energie Cottbus 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dynamo Dresden as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 58% of the ball to Energie Cottbus's 42%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 0.33 for Energie Cottbus.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus?

Dynamo Dresden 4-2 Energie Cottbus in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 47%, draw 28%, Energie Cottbus 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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