Deportivo Riestra 3-1 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2.04
2-3 Goals
34%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.37
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.3
X/1
10%
5.33
X/2
13%
4.9
X/X
19%
3.41
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.96
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.6pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
0.61/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.05
-47% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
11.4 Crosses 17.3
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
3-1
AWAY Lanus
4.24 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
26 Total Shots 13
14 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
256 Passes 269
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
43 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra saw off Lanus 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Deportivo Riestra made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 50% of the ball to Lanus's 50%, shots finished 26-13, expected goals 4.24 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?

Deportivo Riestra 3-1 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 33%, draw 32%, Lanus 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lanus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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