Municipal 1-1 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 9 Aug 2024

Municipal
1-1 HT 1-0
Real Esteli
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup – 2025

Municipal vs Real Esteli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Municipal v Real Esteli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
– Crosses 13.5
– Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal and Real Esteli shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Real Esteli?

Municipal 1-1 Real Esteli in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Municipal 47%, draw 26%, Real Esteli 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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