Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newtown v Aberystwyth Town — Team-Based Signals
Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Newtown
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
6-1
HT 1-0
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
1-2
HT 1-2
Newtown
GAL
1-3
HT 1-1
Newtown
GALWK
2-4
HT 0-2
Newtown
GAL
Newtown ran out comfortable winners over Aberystwyth Town 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newtown as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Newtown and 0.83 for Aberystwyth Town.
What was the final score of Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town?
Newtown 4-1 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Newtown 53%, draw 25%, Aberystwyth Town 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newtown), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.