Pahang 2-3 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 9 Aug 2024

Pahang
2-3 HT 1-3
Sabah
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Malaysia - Super League – 2024/2025

Pahang vs Sabah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pahang v Sabah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pahang EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 39%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.12/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.33
-18% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
301 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
7.0 Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

Pahang vs Sabah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pahang
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sabah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 6
The Meetings
15.07.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 2-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
12.03.2023 Pahang Pahang 1-1 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah MALES
11.10.2022 Pahang Pahang 1-2 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah MALES
28.07.2021 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 0-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
16.03.2021 Pahang Pahang 2-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah MALES
10.03.2020 Pahang Pahang 2-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah MALES
POST-MATCH Pahang vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah squeezed past Pahang 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sabah found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pahang and 1.67 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Pahang vs Sabah?

Pahang 2-3 Sabah in the Malaysia - Super League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pahang vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pahang win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Pahang 35%, draw 30%, Sabah 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ BTTS Yes
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