Bentleigh Greens 1-1 Werribee City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.98
Over 2.5
48%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.39
No
52%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-15.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
30%
+22.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
70%
-22.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
68%
-20.1pp
52%
BTTS No
32%
+20.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bentleigh Greens EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Werribee City EU Bookmakers 26%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-100% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bentleigh Greens
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Werribee City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
04.03.2015 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 1-1 HT 0-0 Werribee City Werribee City AVNPL
13.04.2014 Werribee City Werribee City 0-1 HT 0-1 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
POST-MATCH Bentleigh Greens vs Werribee City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bentleigh Greens and Werribee City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bentleigh Greens at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bentleigh Greens had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bentleigh Greens and 0.50 for Werribee City.

What was the final score of Bentleigh Greens vs Werribee City?

Bentleigh Greens 1-1 Werribee City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bentleigh Greens vs Werribee City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bentleigh Greens win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bentleigh Greens 41%, draw 26%, Werribee City 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bentleigh Greens), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bentleigh Greens) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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