Livyi Bereh 0-3 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.08/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.17
-4% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livyi Bereh
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.12.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-2 HT 1-2 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
25.10.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-3 HT 1-2 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
24.05.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-2 HT 1-2 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
13.11.2022 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-1 HT 0-1 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
27.11.2021 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 5-1 HT 1-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
26.07.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-2 HT 1-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
POST-MATCH Livyi Bereh vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vorskla Poltava cruised past Livyi Bereh 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Vorskla Poltava found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Livyi Bereh and 1.67 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Livyi Bereh vs Vorskla Poltava?

Livyi Bereh 0-3 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livyi Bereh vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livyi Bereh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Livyi Bereh 39%, draw 26%, Vorskla Poltava 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Livyi Bereh), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Livyi Bereh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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