Ferroviaria 2-1 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferroviaria EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.33/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.09
-37% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
18.6 Crosses 12.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferroviaria
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Amazonas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.27 xG 1.66
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
146 Passes 350
58% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Amazonas Amazonas 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferroviaria Ferroviaria BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferroviaria
2-1
AWAY Amazonas
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
394 Passes 233
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Ferroviaria vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferroviaria edged past Amazonas 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ferroviaria as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ferroviaria had 60% of the ball to Amazonas's 40%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Ferroviaria vs Amazonas?

Ferroviaria 2-1 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferroviaria vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferroviaria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ferroviaria 43%, draw 29%, Amazonas 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferroviaria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferroviaria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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