Stal Mielec 1-1 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +23%
1.40/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.09
-17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
354 Passes 290
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2022 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-0 HT 2-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
27.08.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-0 HT 2-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
1-1
AWAY Gornik Leczna
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec and Gornik Leczna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stal Mielec at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 60% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 40%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.00 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Gornik Leczna?

Stal Mielec 1-1 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 53%, draw 22%, Gornik Leczna 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stal Mielec), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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