Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arka Gdynia v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
2-0
HT 0-0
Arka Gdynia
POL
1-4
HT 0-3
Pogon Szczecin
HAZ
3-3
HT 1-1
Arka Gdynia
POL
2-3
HT 2-1
Pogon Szczecin
POL
3-2
HT 1-1
Arka Gdynia
POL
Arka Gdynia 2-1 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Arka Gdynia squeezed past Pogon Szczecin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Pogon Szczecin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Arka Gdynia had 44% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 56%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.48 to 2.01 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pogon Szczecin.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arka Gdynia and 2.67 for Pogon Szczecin.
What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Szczecin?
Arka Gdynia 2-1 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Szczecin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 34%, draw 24%, Pogon Szczecin 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) went the other way.