Virtus Entella 2-1 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Sep 2024

Virtus Entella
2-1 HT 0-0
Ascoli
📅09/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Virtus Entella vs Ascoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.52
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Virtus Entella v Ascoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.64/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.70
+42% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

Virtus Entella vs Ascoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ascoli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.33 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.03.2021 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
22.11.2020 Ascoli Ascoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
08.03.2020 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-0 HT 3-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
25.10.2019 Ascoli Ascoli 2-1 HT 2-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
31.05.2018 Ascoli Ascoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
24.05.2018 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB

Virtus Entella 2-1 Ascoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
2-1
AWAY Ascoli
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella edged past Ascoli 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Virtus Entella found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 47% of the ball to Ascoli's 53%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Virtus Entella and 0.50 for Ascoli.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Ascoli?

Virtus Entella 2-1 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 38%, draw 27%, Ascoli 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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