Naft Masjed Soleyman 0-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.25
6+ Goals
6%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.68/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.89
+13% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Masjed Soleyman
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.11.2023 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC squeezed past Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Naft Masjed Soleyman carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Naft Masjed Soleyman 0-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Masjed Soleyman win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Naft Masjed Soleyman 57%, draw 23%, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft Masjed Soleyman) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Masjed Soleyman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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