Evesham United 2-1 Hungerford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Evesham United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/2.10
-34% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Evesham United
2-1
AWAY Hungerford Town
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Evesham United vs Hungerford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Evesham United squeezed past Hungerford Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Evesham United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Evesham United had 42% of the ball to Hungerford Town's 58%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Evesham United vs Hungerford Town?

Evesham United 2-1 Hungerford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Evesham United vs Hungerford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Evesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Evesham United 38%, draw 24%, Hungerford Town 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5
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